markov chain
Markov chains are a relatively simple but very interesting and useful class of random processes. A Markov chain describes a system whose state changes over time. The changes are not completely predictable, but rather are governed by probability distributions. These probability distributions incorporate a simple sort of dependence structure, where the conditional distribution of future states of the system, given some information about past states, depends only on the most recent piece of information. That is, what matters in predicting the future of the system is its present state, and not the path by which the system got to its present state. Markov chains illustrate many of the important ideas of stochastic processes in an elementary setting. This classical subject is still very much alive, with important developments in both theory and applications coming at an accelerating pace in recent decades.1
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Temperature Transition Pairs